Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-14 0.000844 0.000905 0.000969 0.001042 0.001123 0.001210 0.001312
2025-12-21 0.000741 0.000821 0.000911 0.001018 0.001143 0.001286 0.001462
2025-12-28 0.000652 0.000739 0.000839 0.000962 0.001111 0.001288 0.001518
2026-01-04 0.000594 0.000685 0.000791 0.000926 0.001095 0.001303 0.001583
2026-01-11 0.000557 0.000652 0.000766 0.000913 0.001103 0.001344 0.001681
2026-01-18 0.000530 0.000629 0.000749 0.000909 0.001120 0.001395 0.001794
2026-01-25 0.000574 0.000695 0.000848 0.001057 0.001346 0.001742 0.002350
2026-02-01 0.000536 0.000656 0.000807 0.001019 0.001316 0.001733 0.002392
2026-02-08 0.000507 0.000624 0.000776 0.000991 0.001299 0.001739 0.002454
2026-02-15 0.000485 0.000603 0.000757 0.000979 0.001301 0.001774 0.002563
2026-02-22 0.000462 0.000578 0.000731 0.000955 0.001285 0.001778 0.002621
2026-03-01 0.000437 0.000550 0.000700 0.000922 0.001253 0.001755 0.002633
2026-03-08 0.000418 0.000531 0.000683 0.000910 0.001258 0.001800 0.002780
2026-03-15 0.000397 0.000508 0.000660 0.000891 0.001251 0.001824 0.002897
2026-03-22 0.000369 0.000475 0.000621 0.000844 0.001197 0.001767 0.002857
2026-03-29 0.000349 0.000451 0.000594 0.000815 0.001167 0.001749 0.002887
2026-04-05 0.000335 0.000437 0.000580 0.000804 0.001168 0.001781 0.003019
2026-04-12 0.000325 0.000427 0.000571 0.000800 0.001179 0.001832 0.003196
2026-04-19 0.000350 0.000468 0.000640 0.000924 0.001416 0.002321 0.004403
2026-04-26 0.000333 0.000447 0.000614 0.000892 0.001379 0.002289 0.004427
2026-05-03 0.000319 0.000430 0.000594 0.000869 0.001357 0.002282 0.004512
2026-05-10 0.000309 0.000419 0.000582 0.000859 0.001356 0.002319 0.004714
2026-05-17 0.000297 0.000405 0.000565 0.000839 0.001336 0.002314 0.004806